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History Indicates Trubisky, Mahomes, Watson Are More Likely to Fail Than Succeed

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History Indicates Trubisky, Mahomes, Watson Are More Likely to Fail Than Succeed

It’s been well-established that the NFL draft is a crapshoot, regardless of round and position. And yet teams continue to sell farms in order to acquire prospects who, based on precedents, are as likely to fail as they are to succeed.

What’s more, the bar for success is raised when teams forfeit multiple premium draft picks in order to land one first-round prospect, especially if that prospect is a quarterback.

Take the Chicago Bears, Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans, all of whom paid huge prices last week in order to move up in Round 1 to secure quarterbacks they hope will one day lead them to championships.

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